2027 Outlook – Long Beach Office and Residential

2026 and 2027 Office Market Outlook

Snapshot

Downtown Long Beach has a 35.3% office vacancy rate, with thousands of additional apartments planned or under construction. Meanwhile, the Eastside office market remains relatively healthy, reinforced by new residential development, while Airport/Douglas Park is experiencing rapid aerospace and advanced-manufacturing growth.

Long Beach’s office market weakness is concentrated Downtown—not citywide.

Three Separate Commercial Markets in Long Beach

The central thesis: Downtown is contracting and converting; Douglas Park/Airport is expanding around aerospace and advanced manufacturing; and East Long Beach remains comparatively healthy.

These are three very different commercial economies within one city.

Downtown Office — Over 35% Vacancy

Downtown’s 35.3% commercial office vacancy reflects a fundamental reset in demand. Remote and hybrid work have reduced demand for conventional office space, particularly in large office buildings.

Oceangate captures the magnitude of that reset: assessed value fell from $54.3 million to $24.9 million.

Whatever measures are taken to accommodate and address homelessness in preparation for LA28, we hope the solutions and efforts will be long-term rather than temporary.

Downtown Office to Residential Conversion

Only two completed office-to-residential conversions have yielded 186 apartments so far, but the next wave is considerably larger.

The former Wells Fargo Building/Landmark Square at Pine and Ocean—approximately 460,000 SF—was sold and is slated to become 391 apartments. Plans for 400 Oceangate call for approximately 200 residential units, plus another 75 units on the parking garage, while 115 Pine is planned for approximately 70 units.

The result is a smaller Downtown office inventory and a larger residential population.

Downtown & Arts District Residential

Approximately 3,900 apartments have been added since 2016, with roughly 4,750 additional units in the pipeline.

Downtown is gradually shifting from a district dependent on thousands of daily office workers toward one with a much larger permanent residential population.

The housing market itself has become increasingly divided. Some longtime tenants remain in older apartments at comparatively low rents, while residents of newer developments can pay substantially more. A one-bedroom apartment might range from roughly $1,500 in older properties to $3,800 in newer buildings.

The Douglas Park Area – Strong with Space, Defense and The Billion Dollar Bet

Douglas Park and the Long Beach Airport area tell a very different story.

Anduril & Palmer Lucky plan to occupy an approximately 1.1-million-SF campus consisting of six buildings under a 20-year lease. The project represents roughly $1 billion in investment and is expected to support approximately 5,500 jobs at full buildout. Two new parking structures with approximately 1,500 spaces each further illustrate the scale of the expansion.

Long Beach already supports approximately 6,500 advanced-manufacturing and aerospace jobs, many defense-related. Adding Anduril’s projected 5,500 jobs could expand that employment base toward 12,000 direct jobs, spanning defense, rockets, satellites, aircraft, 3D printing, robotics, and advanced manufacturing.

The company has been hiring at a rapid pace, reinforcing Douglas Park’s emergence as a major aerospace, defense, and advanced-manufacturing employment center.

NNN asking lease rates are approximately $1.80 per square foot per mont

Douglas Park Tenants – SF Occupied

Relativity Space 804K SF — rockets
Amazon Project Kuiper 505K SF — satellites
Divergent 430K SF — 3D and advanced manufacturing
Rocket Lab 144K SF — rockets/spacecraft
Voyager 140K SF — space systems
True Anomaly 91K SF — defense/space
Vast — space stations
JetZero — commercial aircraft
NovaWurks — satellites
ExLabs — space systems
Rebel Space — defense/space
Ampaire — electric aircraft
Nikon / Morf3D — advanced manufacturing
Ford — electric vehicle R&D

East Long Beach — Stable

The Eastside is the counterpoint to Downtown: a relatively high-occupancy, stable office market supported by neighborhood-serving professional and medical users, CSULB, and strong surrounding demographics.

Residential construction is adding another layer of demand. At PCH and 2nd, the former Marketplace site is planned for approximately 390 units, Congressional Place has approximately 281 units, and Onni Marina Shores approximately 600 units.

Together, these projects represent more than 1,100 new residential units under construction.

Additional student-oriented residential development is also planned in the area.

2027 Outlook

The Long Beach office market is increasingly a story of three distinct submarkets.

Downtown: Office contraction, high vacancy, residential conversion, and a growing permanent residential population.

Airport/Douglas Park: Expansion driven by aerospace, defense, advanced manufacturing, and major new employment.

East Long Beach: A comparatively stable office market reinforced by strong demographics, CSULB, medical and professional users, and significant new residential development.

These trends appear likely to continue: Downtown will keep adjusting to reduced traditional office demand, Douglas Park will continue expanding around aerospace and advanced manufacturing, and East Long Beach should remain the city’s comparatively stable office submarket.

Long Beach Office Market Overview

OVERVIEW

Long Beach: A Market That Defies Simple Definition

Long Beach doesn’t fit neatly into a single category—and that’s exactly what makes it compelling. It combines the infrastructure and scale of an industrial port city with the lifestyle appeal of a Southern California coastal market. From oceanfront areas like Alamitos Bay—consistently rated among the cleanest in the region—to a wide range of established retail and business districts, Long Beach offers a level of diversity that few coastal cities can match.

A Market of Distinct Submarkets

Rather than functioning as one centralized district, Long Beach operates as a collection of strong, independent submarkets.

Neighborhoods like Belmont Shore and 2nd & PCH deliver a classic coastal retail and dining environment, while areas such as Retro Row, the East Village Arts District, and Bixby Knolls offer more local, design-driven, and community-oriented business environments. Douglas Park, including LBX and The Hangar, reflects a newer, master-planned approach with a mix of office, retail, and experiential uses.

This distribution of activity allows businesses to choose locations that align closely with their brand, workforce, and customer base—something that is harder to achieve in more centralized markets.

Evolving Urban Core, Strength in the Surrounding Market

Downtown Long Beach has experienced cycles of change, as many urban cores have. However, significant residential development has reshaped the area, bringing a large and growing population base that supports long-term demand for retail, services, and office space.

At the same time, many of Long Beach’s strongest business environments are found outside the traditional downtown core. Suburban office corridors and neighborhood retail districts have remained active and resilient, offering practical alternatives for tenants seeking accessibility, parking, and proximity to residential communities.

A Market That Has Gained Institutional Attention

Long Beach was historically overlooked by larger institutional investors, often viewed as secondary to other Southern California coastal markets. That perception has shifted.

That evolution is becoming especially visible in two parts of the city. Near 2nd & PCH, three major residential projects are replacing former office and retail uses with more than 1,200 apartments, permanently changing the composition of the southeast Long Beach market. Downtown is undergoing an equally significant residential shift: five major projects alone represent nearly 2,900 units ranging from nearing completion to approved or planned, with portions of that supply expected to come online through 2028 and beyond. Long Beach will also serve as a major venue city for the 2028 Olympic and Paralympic Games, hosting 11 Olympic and seven Paralympic sporting events across seven venues—an unusually large role that is reinforcing investment in the waterfront and other public infrastructure.

Sustained residential development, combined with increasing retail activity and improving infrastructure, has drawn attention from well-capitalized developers and long-term investors. The result is a market that continues to see reinvestment and redevelopment across multiple submarkets—not just in a single concentrated area.

Relative Affordability Along the Coast

As coastal markets throughout Southern California have become increasingly expensive, Long Beach stands out as a more accessible alternative. It offers proximity to major employment centers, port-driven economic activity, and a coastal lifestyle—without the pricing barriers seen in neighboring beach cities.

For businesses, this creates an opportunity: access to a large and diverse customer base, a growing residential population, and a variety of location types, all within a more flexible cost structure.

A Practical Advantage for Tenants

What ultimately defines Long Beach is optionality.

Tenants are not limited to a single business district or price tier. They can choose between urban, coastal, and suburban environments within the same city—each with distinct advantages depending on their needs.

That flexibility, combined with ongoing investment and a broad economic base, continues to position Long Beach as a durable and often underappreciated commercial real estate market within the Greater Los Angeles region.

2027 OUTLOOK

Long Beach Office Market Report

2027 Market Outlook & Trends

MARKET OUTLOOK SNAPSHOT

The Long Beach is three very different commercial economies and submarkets within one city.

Downtown: Office contraction, high vacancy, office-to-residential conversion, and a residential pipeline approaching 2,900 units among five major projects.

Airport/Douglas Park: Expansion driven by aerospace, defense, advanced manufacturing, and major new employment.

East Long Beach: A comparatively stable office market reinforced by strong demographics, CSULB, medical and professional users, and approximately 1,271 new residential units concentrated near 2nd & PCH.

These trends appear likely to continue through 2027 and into 2028: Downtown will keep adjusting to reduced traditional office demand while adding a substantially larger permanent residential population; Douglas Park will continue expanding around aerospace, defense and advanced manufacturing; East Long Beach should remain comparatively stable while the 2nd & PCH area undergoes a major residential transformation; and LA28 will increasingly influence waterfront activity, infrastructure preparation and visitor-oriented investment as the Games approach.

Downtown Office — Over 35% Vacancy

Downtown’s 35.3% commercial office vacancy reflects a fundamental reset in demand. Remote and hybrid work have reduced demand for conventional office space, particularly in large office buildings, while conversions and redevelopment are beginning to reduce portions of the older office inventory.

Oceangate captures both sides of the reset. The assessed value of 100 Oceangate fell from $54.3 million to $24.9 million, and in August 2026 the Port of Long Beach agreed to acquire the approximately 226,000-SF tower for $36 million as part of an effort to establish a maritime business hub Downtown.

LA28 — A Major Long Beach Event and Infrastructure Catalyst

Long Beach will be one of the principal venue cities for the 2028 Olympic and Paralympic Games, hosting 11 Olympic and seven Paralympic sporting events across seven venues. The Olympic program alone includes 161 ticketed events and 35 finals. The concentration of events along Downtown, Belmont Shore and Marine Stadium should bring substantial visitor activity while accelerating waterfront and public-infrastructure preparation ahead of 2028.

Downtown Office to Residential Conversion

Office-to-residential conversion remains one of the clearest ways Downtown’s commercial inventory is changing. The next wave is considerably larger than the conversions completed to date.

Landmark Square at 111 W. Ocean Blvd. is planned for conversion to approximately 391 apartments. The entitled 400 Oceangate project calls for conversion of the existing office tower to 200 units plus 75 additional units above the parking structure, for 275 units total. These projects alone would remove substantial conventional office space while adding 666 residences.

The result is a smaller Downtown office inventory and a larger residential population.

Downtown New Residential Coming & Underway

The current Downtown wave is now large enough to be viewed as a structural shift. Five major projects—Landmark Square (391 units), Alexan West End (600), the three-phase City Place/Mosaic plan (900), the former City Hall site at 321 W. Ocean (729), and 400 Oceangate (275)—represent approximately 2,895 residential units.

Alexan West End is nearing occupancy, while the first 272-unit phase of City Place/Mosaic is under construction with an expected 2028 opening. Other projects are approved, entitled or planned rather than committed to a specific 2028 delivery date. Taken together, the pipeline points to continued residential growth through 2028 and beyond, gradually shifting Downtown from a district dependent on thousands of daily office workers toward one with a much larger permanent residential population.

The housing market itself has become increasingly divided. Some longtime tenants remain in older apartments at comparatively low rents, while residents of newer developments can pay substantially more. A one-bedroom apartment might range from roughly $1,500 in older properties to $3,800 in newer buildings.

Douglas Park – Strong with Space, Defense and The Billion Dollar Bet

Douglas Park and the Long Beach Airport area tell a very different story.

Anduril & Palmer Luckey plan to occupy an approximately 1.1-million-SF campus consisting of six buildings under a 20-year lease. The project represents roughly $1 billion in investment and is expected to support approximately 5,500 jobs at full buildout. Two new parking structures with approximately 1,500 spaces each further illustrate the scale of the expansion.

Long Beach already supports approximately 6,500 advanced-manufacturing and aerospace jobs, many defense-related. Adding Anduril’s projected 5,500 jobs could expand that employment base toward 12,000 direct jobs, spanning defense, rockets, satellites, aircraft, 3D printing, robotics, and advanced manufacturing.

The company has been hiring at a rapid pace, reinforcing Douglas Park’s emergence as a major aerospace, defense, and advanced-manufacturing employment center.

NNN asking lease rates are approximately $1.80 per square foot per month.

Douglas Park Tenants – SF Occupied

Relativity Space 804K SF — rockets

Amazon Project Kuiper 505K SF — satellites

Divergent 430K SF — 3D and advanced manufacturing

Rocket Lab 144K SF — rockets/spacecraft

Voyager 140K SF — space systems

True Anomaly 91K SF — defense/space

Vast — space stations

JetZero — commercial aircraft

NovaWurks — satellites

ExLabs — space systems

Rebel Space — defense/space

Ampaire — electric aircraft

Nikon / Morf3D — advanced manufacturing

Ford — electric vehicle R&D

East Long Beach —Stable but changing

The Eastside is the counterpoint to Downtown: a relatively high-occupancy, stable office market supported by neighborhood-serving professional and medical users, CSULB, and strong surrounding demographics.

Residential construction is adding another layer of demand near 2nd & PCH. The former Marketplace office site at 6615/6695 E. PCH is planned for 390 apartments; the former Congressional Place site at 6700 E. PCH is being redeveloped with approximately 281 apartments; and Onni Marina Shores is planned for 600 apartments.

Together, the three projects represent approximately 1,271 apartments. The redevelopment has also removed a meaningful amount of older commercial inventory: the 6615 and 6695 office buildings totaled 61,493 SF, the former 6700 PCH office building was approximately 73,076 SF, and the former Marina Shores shopping center contained approximately 67,930 SF—more than 200,000 SF of former office and retail space in total. The 45,955-SF office building at 6621 E. PCH remains.

Additionally, luxury student housing is planned at 5150 PCH which will remove 120,000 more square of Eastside office.

LongBeachOfficeSpace.com

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 2027 Market Outlook

https://longbeachofficespace.com/long-beach-market-outlook-2027

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